Union County Real Estate Market Update September 2025

Homes Selling Fast and High!

As Labor Day signals the shift into fall, Union County's real estate market remains remarkably resilient. Buyers and sellers alike are navigating a landscape marked by continued price growth, recovering but still tight inventory, and strong demand—especially in commuter-friendly and high-amenity towns.

Here’s the latest snapshot and what lies ahead for the close of 2025.

1. Price Trends: Holding Strong, But Slowing Slightly

• Median sale price (June 2025): ~$700,000 — up 12.0% year-over-year, Redfin
• Median home value (June): ~$633,487 — up 4.3% YoY, Zillow
  
• Median sold price (12-month through June): $615,809 — a +8.5% YoY increase, with gains in 5-bedroom homes (+25%) Rocket

Takeaway: Price growth remains robust, though broad-based data suggests a gradual tempering—indicative of a shift from the frenzied early‑2025 pace.

2. Inventory & Sales Pace: Cautious Optimism

• Homes for sale (June): 1,787 — marking a 12.6% month-over-month increase from May, Rocket
• Homes sold/pending (June): 306 — up 3.0% MoM Rocket
• Average days on market: 33 days — down 19.2% YoY Rocket
• Homes selling over asking: 78.4% Rocket
• Sale-to-list price ratio: ~107.2% Redfin
  
  

Takeaway: Inventory is improving but, limited. Homes continue to sell quickly and for more than the list price, reinforcing a persistent seller’s market.

Key influencers:

• Mortgage rates expected to remain elevated (30-year fixed rate around 6.5% to 6.8%), dampening buying power—but not halting demand entirely.
• New listings are likely to continue increasing through September, offering buyers more options—but expect competition to remain stiff.
• Seasonal slow‑down typically softens activity in November and December; buyers might find short-lived negotiation leverage if demand wanes.
• Affordability pressures will continue influencing mid-market dynamics. Luxury and commuter-adjacent towns may remain resilient even as broader demands cool.

3. Market Snapshot Summary Metric Latest Data (Jun 2025)  YoY / MoM Change

 Median Sale Price ~$700K +12.0% YoY, Redfin

 Zillow Value (ZHVI) ~$633K +4.3% YoY, Zillow

 Median Sold Price (12 mo) ~$615.8K +8.5% YoY, Rocket

 Homes for Sale 1,787 +12.6% MoM, Rocket

 Days on Market 33 days −19.2% YoY, Rocket

 Sale-to-List Ratio ~107% — RedfinRocket

 Forecasted H2 Growth 3–4% — gardenstatehomesearcher.com

4. Looking Ahead: Strategic Moves for Buyers & Sellers

For Sellers

• Well-priced, well-positioned properties continue to perform.
• Consider listing in early fall, before winter's typical slowdown, to capture motivated buyers.
• Use local data to fine-tune pricing strategy for maximum return without deterring engagement.

For Buyers

• Expect more inventory through September, but act swiftly; demand remains high.
• Target under-stocked brackets (e.g., 2–4 bedroom homes) for best value.
• Be prepared: strong financing, clean offers, and flexibility will win!

Final Takeaway

As of September 1, 2025, Union County's real estate market remains one of New Jersey's hottest—with price growth moderating slightly but still outperforming state averages. Inventory is inching upward, yet homes are selling quickly. Through the end of the year, prices are expected to continue increasing modestly, setting the stage for an active and tactical fall market.

Contact Deborah Zamora today to schedule a personalized consultation and make your next move in Union County with confidence.